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🏈 NFL
Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#41 · RB · 5' 10" · 215 lbs · age 31 · Tennessee · 10 yr vet
New Orleans Saints checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Alvin KamaraRead it ▾Alvin Kamara has gone over his number in 11 of his last 30 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints (#41 · RB · 5' 10" · 215 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Alvin Kamara has gone over his number in 11 of his last 30 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 55 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 33.23 rush yds, moved from a base of 32.88 by vs PIT run D #14 (-1.9%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against PIT.

We project 0.31 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.31 by vs PIT run D #14 (-1.9%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against PIT.

We project 3.16 receptions, moved from a base of 3.22 by vs PIT pass D #8 (-6.6%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against PIT.

We project 26.82 reception yds, moved from a base of 27.31 by vs PIT pass D #8 (-6.6%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against PIT.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Alvin Kamara — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS PIT
55
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds33.23from 32.88 · 5 games
vs PIT run D #14 -1.9%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.5 pts (house engine, v2) +2.3%the machine · 5 graded +0.8%his over rate L10 60% at 34.3 (5 graded)
Rush Tds0.31from 0.31 · 5 games
vs PIT run D #14 -1.9%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.5 pts (house engine, v2) +2.3%the machine · 5 graded +0.8%
Receptions3.16from 3.22 · 5 games
vs PIT pass D #8 -6.6%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 23.5 pts (house engine, v2) +2.3%the machine · 5 graded +0.8%his over rate L10 60% at 1.7 (5 graded)
Reception Yds26.82from 27.31 · 5 games
vs PIT pass D #8 -6.6%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 23.5 pts (house engine, v2) +2.3%the machine · 5 graded +0.8%his over rate L10 40% at 12.3 (5 graded)
Reception Tds0.12from 0.11 · 5 games
vs PIT red-zone D #17 +0.4%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 23.5 pts (house engine, v2) +2.3%the machine · 5 graded +0.8%
Total Tds0.43from 0.42 · 5 games
vs PIT red-zone D #17 +0.4%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.5 pts (house engine, v2) +2.3%the machine · 5 graded +0.8%
Anytime Td0.32from 0.31 · 5 games
vs PIT red-zone D #17 +0.4%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.5 pts (house engine, v2) +2.3%the machine · 5 graded +0.8%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Alvin Kamara · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 5 60%60%60%60%
Last Touchdown Scorer 5 40%40%40%40% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 5 40%40%40%40% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 5 60%60%60%60% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 5 20%20%20%20% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Alvin Kamara — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 11/30 overs (37%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 1
player_receptions · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 10.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 35
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 34
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 13.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: -6
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 12
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Alvin Kamara — 2026 GAME LOG · 5 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
W2150570
W3360150
W42325350
W51202-60
W63402351
Total120215761
Per game240.4315.20.2
Median230270
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 vs PIT · Sun Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET
What PIT gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#1686.17rush yds/g to RBs
#60.5rush TD/g to RBs
#224.67catches/g to RBs
#2135rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS69258.73.80
TURF3547452.63.914
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS6312524.081%0
TURF3519816231.482%3
-10% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
+31% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

© 2026 FANTASYDAILIES · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · NOT A SPORTSBOOK — WE READ THE MARKET, YOU MAKE THE CALLS

Alvin Kamara — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Alvin Kamara carried 35 times for 120 yards (3.43 per carry) and 2 touchdowns, with a 31.4% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end1220
Left tackle41230
Left guard5234.60
Up the middle16533.312
Right guard2157.50
Right tackle581.60
Right end273.50

Target zones

Alvin Kamara saw 20 targets and caught 15 (75%) for 76 yards and 1 touchdowns. 136.8% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep left200%00
Short left10990%520
Short right8675%241

Snap counts

Alvin Kamara played 103 offensive snaps across 5 games in 2026 — 20.6 per game, 30.4% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.