The AI NFL projection board

Every player on tonight's board. Our number on every market, the house price, and the edge between the two. Built off the same ledger and the same machine that grade everything else here.

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Reading the board…
AI BriefWhat the NFL board says this week▾

Friday's AI projections nfl, refreshed through the day. Same method every day; the numbers are the only thing that changes.

The NFL board carries 1,603 projections week 7 across 9 markets, the deepest of them anytime td (431), reception yds (346) and total tds (243).

The matchup moved these the most: Keenan Allen total tds down 28% to 0.13 on vs min red-zone d #1, Keenan Allen reception tds down 28% to 0.13 on vs min red-zone d #1 and Josh Downs anytime td down 27% to 0.16 on vs min red-zone d #1. Every adjustment behind a number is printed on its card, so the projection can be read rather than trusted.

The best spot on the board belongs to Tucker Kraft at 83 out of 100 on the road at DET, and the hardest to Patrick Mahomes at 28.

Beside every number sits the consensus price of DraftKings and the gap between our probability and theirs. The top five of each market are free; the rest of the board comes with a Velvet seat.

Written from tonight's board and refreshed through the day. Every projection and pick on this site is logged before the game and graded after it — the running record is on our results page.

KeyHow to read the projections board▾

Every projection here is logged before the game and graded after it. The board leads with the biggest edges.