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🏈 NFL
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#18 · QB · 6' 1" · 226 lbs · age 24 · USC · 3 yr vet
Chicago Bears checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Caleb WilliamsRead it ▾Caleb Williams has gone over his number in 6 of his last 18 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Caleb Williams of the Chicago Bears (#18 · QB · 6' 1" · 226 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Caleb Williams has gone over his number in 6 of his last 18 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 32 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 196.46 pass yds, moved from a base of 222.27 by vs SEA pass D #1 (-12%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at SEA.

We project 1.11 pass tds, moved from a base of 1.26 by vs SEA pass D #1 (-12%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at SEA.

We project 29.58 rush yds, moved from a base of 31.01 by vs SEA run D #10 (-5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at SEA.

We project 0.11 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.11 by vs SEA run D #10 (-5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at SEA.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 [Highlight] Sideline view of Bears TE Cole Kmet catching QB Caleb Williams’ miraculous fade-away 14-yard touchdown on fourth down against the Rams.
REDDIT · 14h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥[Highlight] Sideline view of Bears TE Cole Kmet catching QB Caleb Williams’ miraculous fade-away 14-yard touchdown on fourth down against the Rams.
CHILARreddit · 14h ago
🔥Caleb Williams fined $11,941 for wearing Caddix cleats
reddit · 22h ago
🔥Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears keep squashing narratives
CHIyahoo · 1d ago

This is the live market page for Caleb Williams of the Chicago Bears — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Caleb Williams — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT SEA
32
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Pass Yds196.46from 222.27 · 12 games
vs SEA pass D #1 -12%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 15 days +3%clear at kickoffthe machine · 3 graded -0.5%his over rate L10 67% at 178.2 (3 graded)
Pass Tds1.11from 1.26 · 12 games
vs SEA pass D #1 -12%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 15 days +3%clear at kickoffthe machine · 3 graded -0.5%his over rate L10 67% at 0.5 (3 graded)
Rush Yds29.58from 31.01 · 12 games
vs SEA run D #10 -5%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 15 days +3%clear at kickoffthe machine · 3 graded -0.5%his over rate L10 67% at 16.5 (3 graded)
Rush Tds0.11from 0.11 · 12 games
vs SEA run D #10 -5%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 15 days +3%clear at kickoffthe machine · 3 graded -0.5%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Caleb Williams · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Passing Yards 3 67%67%67%67%
Passing Touchdowns 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Last Touchdown Scorer 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 3 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Caleb Williams — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 6/18 overs (33%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-22
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-22
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-22
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 15.5
2026-10-22
OVER
final: 18
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-10-22
OVER
final: 2
passing_yards · line 235.5
2026-10-22
OVER
final: 308
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 3
passing_touchdowns · line 0.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 1
passing_yards · line 149.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 305
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

PASSINGGAttComp%Yds/GTDINT
GRASS31109956%220.8420
TURF728353%237.7110
RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS3113827.66.25
TURF72728.77.40
+8% passing yards/game on turf vs grass
+4% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Caleb Williams — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Passing zones

Caleb Williams threw 100 passes in 2026, completing 66% for 712 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interceptions.

ZoneAttCompComp %YardsTD
Deep left4375%741
Deep middle3133.3%230
Deep right7228.6%690
Short left211571.4%1590
Short middle171482.4%1400
Short right393179.5%2472

Run gaps

Caleb Williams carried 18 times for 111 yards (6.17 per carry) and 2 touchdowns, with a 50% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end6579.52
Up the middle320.670
Right guard1220
Right tackle111110
Right end5224.40

Snap counts

Caleb Williams played 216 offensive snaps across 3 games in 2026 — 72 per game, 95.3% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.