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🏈 NFL
Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#30 · RB · 5' 8" · 215 lbs · age 27 · Oklahoma State · 5 yr vet
Pittsburgh Steelers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Jaylen WarrenRead it ▾Jaylen Warren has gone over his number in 13 of his last 30 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Jaylen Warren of the Pittsburgh Steelers (#30 · RB · 5' 8" · 215 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Jaylen Warren has gone over his number in 13 of his last 30 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 66 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 67.2 rush yds, moved from a base of 61.42 by vs NO run D #30 (+10.5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

We project 0.24 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.22 by vs NO run D #30 (+10.5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

We project 3.76 receptions, moved from a base of 3.47 by vs NO pass D #26 (+7.4%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

We project 44.93 reception yds, moved from a base of 41.42 by vs NO pass D #26 (+7.4%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NO.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…
HIS WIRE
🔥 Steelers keys to victory vs. Saints: Get Jaylen Warren the ball
YAHOO · 2h
📰 THE WIRE · HIS LATEST NEWS
🔥Steelers keys to victory vs. Saints: Get Jaylen Warren the ball
NOPITyahoo · 2h ago
🔥NFL Predictions: Will Steelers get back to feeding Jaylen Warren vs. Saints?
NOPITyahoo · 4h ago

This is the live market page for Jaylen Warren of the Pittsburgh Steelers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Jaylen Warren — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT NO
66
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds67.2from 61.42 · 6 games
vs NO run D #30 +10.5%on the road -2%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.2 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +1.4%the machine · 5 graded -0.3%his over rate L10 40% at 75.5 (5 graded)
Rush Tds0.24from 0.22 · 6 games
vs NO run D #30 +10.5%on the road -2%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.2 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +1.4%the machine · 5 graded -0.3%
Receptions3.76from 3.47 · 6 games
vs NO pass D #26 +7.4%on the road -2%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 23.2 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +1.4%the machine · 5 graded -0.3%his over rate L10 80% at 1.7 (5 graded)
Reception Yds44.93from 41.42 · 6 games
vs NO pass D #26 +7.4%on the road -2%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 23.2 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +1.4%the machine · 5 graded -0.3%his over rate L10 100% at 15.5 (5 graded)
Reception Tds0.11from 0.11 · 6 games
vs NO red-zone D #20 +2.7%on the road -2%turf7 days restdome +2%implied 23.2 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +1.4%the machine · 5 graded -0.3%
Total Tds0.33from 0.33 · 6 games
vs NO red-zone D #20 +2.7%on the road -2%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.2 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +1.4%the machine · 5 graded -0.3%
Anytime Td0.27from 0.26 · 6 games
vs NO red-zone D #20 +2.7%on the road -2%turf7 days restdomeimplied 23.2 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +1.4%the machine · 5 graded -0.3%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Jaylen Warren · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 5 40%40%40%40%
Last Touchdown Scorer 5 20%20%20%20% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 5 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 5 80%80%80%80% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 5 20%20%20%20% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Jaylen Warren — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 13/30 overs (43%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-18
OVER
final: 28
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 50
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 2
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 2
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 6
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 87
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 2
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 101
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Jaylen Warren — 2026 GAME LOG · 6 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
W14605270
W24302340
W312703490
W49303330
W510116871
W65002280
Total4601212581
Per game76.70.23.5430.2
Median71.50333.50
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ NO · Sun Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET
What NO gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#32116.83rush yds/g to RBs
#321.83rush TD/g to RBs
#134catches/g to RBs
#1430.5rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS3940148.14.77
TURF1414753.35.14
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS3913310620.480%1
TURF14504423.188%1
+11% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
+13% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

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Jaylen Warren — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Jaylen Warren carried 84 times for 460 yards (5.48 per carry) and 1 touchdowns, with a 44% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end161207.50
Left tackle132620
Left guard151308.671
Up the middle18995.50
Right guard82430
Right tackle7233.290
Right end7385.430

Target zones

Jaylen Warren saw 31 targets and caught 21 (67.7%) for 258 yards and 1 touchdowns. 117.1% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left10660%280
Short middle5480%790
Short right151173.3%1511

Snap counts

Jaylen Warren played 312 offensive snaps across 6 games in 2026 — 52 per game, 76.2% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.