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🏈 NFL
Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#34 · RB · 5' 8" · 191 lbs · age 24 · East Carolina · 4 yr vet
Los Angeles Chargers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
✦AI BriefLive read on Keaton MitchellRead it ▾Keaton Mitchell has gone over his number in 7 of his last 25 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Keaton Mitchell of the Los Angeles Chargers (#34 · RB · 5' 8" · 191 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Keaton Mitchell has gone over his number in 7 of his last 25 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 77 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 37.99 rush yds, moved from a base of 31.16 by vs LAR run D #26 (+7.4%), on the road (-2%), extra rest · 14 days (+3%), on the road at LAR.

We project 21.23 reception yds, moved from a base of 22.58 by vs LAR pass D #2 (-11.2%), on the road (-2%), extra rest · 14 days (+3%), on the road at LAR.

We project 0.08 reception tds, moved from a base of 0.08 by vs LAR red-zone D #5 (-8.9%), on the road (-2%), extra rest · 14 days (+3%), on the road at LAR.

We project 0.22 total tds, moved from a base of 0.23 by vs LAR red-zone D #5 (-8.9%), on the road (-2%), extra rest · 14 days (+3%), on the road at LAR.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Keaton Mitchell of the Los Angeles Chargers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Keaton Mitchell — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT LAR
77
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds37.99from 31.16 · 6 games
vs LAR run D #26 +7.4%on the road -2%extra rest · 14 days +3%implied 26.3 pts +8%big favourite · -7 +4%the machine · 5 graded +0.2%his over rate L10 60% at 16.5 (5 graded)
Reception Yds21.23from 22.58 · 6 games
vs LAR pass D #2 -11.2%on the road -2%extra rest · 14 days +3%implied 26.3 pts +8%big favourite · -7 -3%the machine · 5 graded +0.2%his over rate L10 67% at 11.8 (3 graded)
Reception Tds0.08from 0.08 · 6 games
vs LAR red-zone D #5 -8.9%on the road -2%extra rest · 14 days +3%implied 26.3 pts +8%big favourite · -7 -3%the machine · 5 graded +0.2%
Total Tds0.22from 0.23 · 6 games
vs LAR red-zone D #5 -8.9%on the road -2%extra rest · 14 days +3%implied 26.3 pts +8%big favourite · -7 -3%the machine · 5 graded +0.2%
Anytime Td0.24from 0.25 · 6 games
vs LAR red-zone D #5 -8.9%on the road -2%extra rest · 14 days +3%implied 26.3 pts +8%big favourite · -7 -3%the machine · 5 graded +0.2%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Keaton Mitchell · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 5 60%60%60%60%
Last Touchdown Scorer 5 20%20%20%20% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 2 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Keaton Mitchell — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 7/25 overs (28%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 0.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-18
UNDER
final: 4
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
player_receiving_yards · line 10.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 18
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 11
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Keaton Mitchell — 2026 GAME LOG · 6 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRecRec ydsRec TD
W19000
W2241150
W3523-51
W4395240
W5113180
W64000
Total13912521
Per game23.228.70.2
Median17.527.50
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 8 @ LAR · Sun Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET
What LAR gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#1893rush yds/g to RBs
#40.33rush TD/g to RBs
#214.67catches/g to RBs
#2940.17rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
TURF31924.03.80
thin sample on one surface
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Keaton Mitchell — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Keaton Mitchell carried 35 times for 139 yards (3.97 per carry) and 0 touchdowns, with a 37.1% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end13534.080
Left tackle4143.50
Left guard1990
Up the middle273.50
Right guard1110
Right tackle21260
Right end12433.580

Target zones

Keaton Mitchell saw 15 targets and caught 12 (80%) for 52 yards and 1 touchdowns. 123.1% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left6583.3%430
Short middle22100%-51
Short right7571.4%140

Snap counts

Keaton Mitchell played 126 offensive snaps across 6 games in 2026 — 21 per game, 31.7% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.